Up to date on January twenty fourth, 2025 by Bob Ciura
Over the previous decade, many expertise shares equivalent to Apple, Inc. (AAPL), Cisco Programs (CSCO), and extra have initiated dividend funds to shareholders.
Whereas the expertise trade has broadly embraced dividends, not all tech firms pay dividends. One lingering holdout to paying dividends to shareholders is e-commerce big Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN).
Moderately than return money to shareholders, Amazon continues to plow its money movement again into the enterprise.
The choice whether or not or not an organization ought to pay a dividend relies on many elements. Hundreds of shares pay dividends to shareholders, and an elite few have maintained lengthy histories of elevating their dividends yearly.
For instance, the Dividend Aristocrats are a bunch of 66 shares within the S&P 500 which have raised their dividends for 25+ years in a row.
You possibly can obtain an Excel spreadsheet of all 66 Dividend Aristocrats (with necessary monetary metrics equivalent to price-to-earnings ratios and dividend yields) by clicking the hyperlink under:
Amazon’s lack of a dividend definitely has not harm traders up to now, as Amazon has been a premier tech inventory.
Over the previous 10 years, Amazon inventory generated returns above 30% per yr. However for revenue traders, Amazon is probably not a gorgeous possibility as a result of lack of a dividend cost.
This text will talk about the probabilities of Amazon ever paying a dividend.
Enterprise Overview
Amazon is a web-based retailer that operates an enormous e-commerce platform the place shoppers can purchase just about something with their computer systems or smartphones.
Amazon is a mega-cap inventory with a market cap of roughly $2.4 trillion. It operates by the next segments:
North America
Worldwide
Amazon Net Companies
The North America and Worldwide segments embody the worldwide retail platform of client merchandise by the corporate’s web sites.
The Amazon Net Companies section sells subscriptions for cloud computing and storage companies to shoppers, start-ups, enterprises, authorities companies, and educational establishments.
Amazon’s e-commerce operations fueled its large income development over the previous decade. The corporate noticed continued development in the latest quarter.
Supply: Investor Presentation
Associated: Which is the higher funding, dividend shares or development shares?
Within the third quarter of 2024, income of $148 billion elevated 10% year-over-year. Excluding forex fluctuations, gross sales elevated 10%.
By section, North America section gross sales elevated 9% year-over-year, whereas AWS gross sales rose 19% and Worldwide section gross sales rose 7% excluding forex.
Working revenue elevated to $14.7 billion. Web revenue elevated to $1.26 per diluted share, in contrast with $0.65 per diluted share within the year-ago quarter.
Whereas the retail enterprise nonetheless operates at low gross margins, it continues to generate robust income development. Individually, the AWS section is very worthwhile, and is essentially the explanation for Amazon’s spectacular earnings development. Such robust earnings development improves Amazon’s probabilities of paying a dividend in some unspecified time in the future sooner or later.
That stated, the corporate nonetheless plans to take a position closely in development, which makes for uneven earnings-per-share from one quarter to the subsequent.
Progress Prospects
As is typical with many expertise firms, development funding is Amazon’s high strategic precedence. That is partly out of necessity.
Issues transfer extraordinarily quick in expertise, which is a extremely aggressive trade. Know-how companies want to take a position giant quantities to remain forward of the pack.
Amazon is not any totally different—it’s making main investments to proceed constructing its on-line retail platform. Amazon continues to develop its retail enterprise.
It additionally acquired pure and natural grocer Complete Meals for practically $14 billion. This gave Amazon the brick-and-mortar footprint it desired to additional develop its attain in groceries.
Amazon isn’t stopping there. Along with the retail trade, it goals to unfold its tentacles into different industries as effectively, together with media and healthcare. Amazon has constructed a large media platform wherein it distributes content material to its Amazon Prime members.
Making unique content material is one other extremely capital-intensive endeavor, which would require enormous sums to ensure that Amazon to compete with the likes of streaming giants Netflix (NFLX) and Hulu, in addition to different tv and film studios.
Now that Amazon dominates retail and media content material, it’s readying a possible transfer into the healthcare trade. Extra lately, in 2022 Amazon introduced the acquisition of One Medical in a $3.9 billion all-cash transaction, together with One Medical’s debt. One Medical is a nationwide main care firm.
These investments will gasoline Amazon’s income development, which is what the corporate’s traders are primarily involved with. However, such aggressive spending will restrict Amazon’s skill to pay dividends to shareholders, no less than for a while.
Working revenue is anticipated to be between $11.5 billion and $15.0 billion, in contrast with $11.2 billion in third quarter 2023.
Will Amazon Ever Pay A Dividend?
Amazon has joined the ranks of worthwhile tech firms like Apple, Microsoft, and Cisco, all of which generate excessive earnings-per-share. Apple, Microsoft, and Cisco at the moment are blue-chip tech dividend payers.
In concept, Amazon may pay a dividend, as the corporate ought to be worthwhile in fiscal 2023. Amazon’s earnings-per-share are forecast to be $4.84 for fiscal 2024.
The corporate can use its income for a lot of functions, together with debt compensation, reinvestment in future development initiatives, paying dividends, or share buybacks.
If Amazon selected to, it may distribute a dividend to shareholders, though any introduced dividend payout would possible be small, when it comes to the dividend yield.
For instance, even when Amazon maintained a dividend payout ratio of 25%, which might be applicable for a growth-oriented tech firm, the dividend of $1.21 per share would characterize only a ~0.6% yield.
Closing Ideas
Amazon has been probably the most spectacular development firms in historical past. It now dominates the net retail trade. It is usually an enormous cloud companies supplier, in addition to a film studio and content material streaming big.
Finally, an organization has to make the choice to provoke a dividend cost. That is typically carried out when future development not requires such heavy funding.
For Amazon, the corporate nonetheless has many new avenues for future enlargement in thoughts, together with (however not restricted to) media content material, grocery shops, and well being care.
Progress continues to be very a lot the highest precedence for Amazon. In consequence, traders shouldn’t count on a dividend cost any time quickly.
At Certain Dividend, we regularly advocate for investing in firms with a excessive likelihood of accelerating their dividends each yr.
If that technique appeals to you, it might be helpful to flick thru the next databases of dividend development shares:
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